Steam random CD keys - worth it?

Steam offers a random steam game for only 1.50$. is it worth it? 

1.50$. this is the worth of the random steam game. you cant get those pretty quickly, but what you get in return?

The valueMost of the times, you get a 1$ game from steam. those are mostly old 2d indie games.
Seldom, you can get a 10$ steam game, but these is really rare.
If you like mystery and indie games, it maybe be a perfect match for you.

The chancesThere is 95% to get a 1$ game. 4.20% to get a 5$ game and 0.80% to get a 10$ + game.
The chance of hitting a AAA game is 0.001%.
Of course the number of keys you'll need to buy before getting a certain game tier may vary up and down by your luck. 

Let's talk numbers
For an opportunity to win a 5$ game you'll need to buy at least 25 CD keys(!!).
1.50 x 25 = 37.50$!
Thats a lot of money.
For 9975 soul gems you can get AAA games from G2A!(such as Overwatch, Gta v and a lot more...)

But, that's only the beginning.
You want a 10$ game? the chances are 0.80%.
that's at least 100 cd keys!
150$! that is a lot. 

So, why is that availble?I'm not saying that is completely useless.
What im trying to say here, is that its not for everyone.
So,for who is that can be suitable? this reward is for who wants to expand their steam library and for who that enjoys indie game.
If you want a specific game, it is better for you to buy it specifically from Steam. 

There is something better!
There is another option for who wants a mystery game.
You can buy a "premium random steam CD key" for 5$ soul gems.
This random key will give you a much more valuable game.(around 10$)
Personally, i've got 2 games from the simple ones, and 1 premium game.I have got the games "CMD 2048" and "Othello 2018" from the simple ones.
From the premium i've got the game "Brutal legend" its a really nice game that cost 10$.

The best times to buy a keyFrom time to time, Steam is discounting the price of the keys. those are usually from 2%-10% off.
The lowest that Steam has discounted was 30% off.

Redeeming your prizeAfter you got your key, do the following:1.Open steam.
2.Click on the plus button in the bottom-left.
3.Click "Activate a product on Steam".
4.Click "Agree".
5.Enter your code and download your game.
6.Enjoy your game!I don't want this game what can i do?

Don't like the game? you can do nothing with it, unless you have access to the steam marketplace.
If you have access to Steam marketplace, try to sell it. most of the times nobody will buy it, but you may get some cash out of it.


To finish, if you want a specific game, then buy the game.If you want a random indie game buy the simple key.If you want a random quality game, buy the premium key.